TANZANIA METEOROLOGICAL AUTHORITY FORECASTS BELOW-AVERAGE RAINFALL FOR NOVEMBER 2025 – APRIL 2026 SEASON



The Tanzania Meteorological Authority (TMA) has released its seasonal rainfall outlook for the period between November 2025 and April 2026, indicating that most parts of the country are expected to experience below-average to average rainfall. 

The outlook warns that this situation could impact various socio-economic sectors, particularly agriculture, livestock, water, energy, health, and food security.

Speaking to journalists in Dar es Salaam, the Acting Director General of TMA, Dr. Ladislaus B. Chang’a, said the rains are expected to commence between the third and fourth week of October in the regions of Tabora, Katavi, and Kigoma, and gradually spread to the southern parts of the country by November 2025. The rains are forecasted to end between late April and early May 2026.

Dr. Chang’a explained that this year’s rainy season will likely be characterized by prolonged dry spells and uneven rainfall distribution. However, the second half of the season (February – April 2026) may experience a slight increase in rainfall compared to the first half. 

He attributed these patterns to changes in oceanic systems, including temperature variations in the Indian and Atlantic Oceans, which may weaken the flow of moisture-laden winds toward Tanzania.

According to TMA, the expected rainfall deficit may lead to reduced soil moisture, poor crop growth, and declining water levels in rivers and reservoirs — potentially affecting domestic water supply, livestock, and irrigation activities. 

The energy sector may also face challenges in hydropower generation, while the mining and construction sectors could benefit from reduced rainfall due to favorable working conditions.

TMA has urged farmers to prepare their farms early, use drought-tolerant crop varieties, practice water conservation, and follow the advice of agricultural extension officers. Livestock keepers are advised to plan grazing and water use carefully, while local government authorities are encouraged to strengthen drainage and water supply systems to mitigate the impact of flash floods during short heavy rains.

Dr. Chang’a concluded by urging citizens and institutions to rely solely on official weather information issued by TMA, emphasizing that it is illegal to disseminate weather forecasts from unofficial sources. He added that TMA will continue to monitor weather systems and issue regular advisories to help the public safeguard their lives, property, and economic activities.

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